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2024-12-14 00:15:58

The heavy benefits released by the meeting were dismantled with you bit by bit yesterday. In fact, it is not that the benefits are not as good as expected, or the stimulus is not big enough. In fact, the main reason is that the medium and long term is definitely good, but the short-term index and stock price are all driven by funds.Finally, to sum up, the nature of the main rise of the three waves in the market has not changed. After the short-term breakthrough on the upper rail of the triangle, if it continues to fluctuate and climb, the market will be simpler. Now an expectation has directly played an old drama with a high opening and a low walking, and the mood is under pressure. It is estimated that this is another small high point.A high opening directly fills all the space and expectations, so at this time, relying solely on retail investors to lift the sedan chair, it must be a pattern of high opening and low walking. After all, domestic institutions have run more than 120 billion in the past two days, and foreign capital has basically not returned to A shares in this way. It is normal that the market cannot be promoted.


However, please note that the benefits of heavy meetings are not digested, but just accumulated as before. Then, when the policy is gradually implemented, it will still bring motivation and support to A-shares in the medium and long term. Simply put, the funds of these institutions will not be scattered!As for the small ticket, this wave has gone up a lot, but most of them have gone up by the daily limit. It's purely financial. I usually don't look at poor performance and low-priced stocks, so this piece is basically not involved. Under the New China Nine Articles, there are too many mines, and I can only do what I can understand.Finally, to sum up, the nature of the main rise of the three waves in the market has not changed. After the short-term breakthrough on the upper rail of the triangle, if it continues to fluctuate and climb, the market will be simpler. Now an expectation has directly played an old drama with a high opening and a low walking, and the mood is under pressure. It is estimated that this is another small high point.


December 11th Morning Post: The market opened higher and went lower, washing dishes or shipping?I have been looking at traditional industries since November, but domestic institutions are really too weak, and hot money is still speculating. However, the next market trend should still be biased towards an operating rhythm of fundamentals+trends+changing hands. After all, the year is approaching and the fund ranking war is about to start again.There is nothing to say about the technical side. The 5-day support is acceptable, and there is no structure at the high position. Therefore, according to Lao Liu's expectation, the probability in the second half of this week is mainly a shock consolidation stage of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang, and there will be repeated sawing consolidation near 3400 points.

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